Rafalafena vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 3
RAF
34%
22%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
RAF
3 - 2
VIN
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
RAF
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 1
TRA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PED
2 - 4
RAF
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAT
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 4
CAL
60%
20%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OND
3 - 1
CAL
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 3
ROD
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |