Aarup vs Viby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
AAR
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AAR
4 - 3
LFA
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FYN
2 - 0
AAR
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 6
NAS
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
AAR
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Viby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
VIB
0 - 2
OTB
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIB
2 - 2
MAR
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VIB
1 - 2
LIF
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIB
2 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LFA
1 - 1
VIB
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |