Aarup vs Slagelse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RIN
3 - 1
AAR
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
1 - 0
GRE
46%
22%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NAS
1 - 2
AAR
53%
22%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
4 - 1
NAK
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AAR
2 - 1
OKS
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Slagelse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SLA
2 - 3
HED
58%
21%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SLA
1 - 3
RIN
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
5 - 2
SLA
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SLA
0 - 3
NAS
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SLA
1 - 0
FRE
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |