Aarup vs Ringsted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NAE
2 - 0
AAR
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 1
SLA
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
KFU
0 - 2
AAR
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AAR
4 - 0
FRE
45%
22%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAA
5 - 2
AAR
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ringsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RIN
3 - 1
GRE
50%
22%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
OTB
2 - 2
RIN
34%
22%
44%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
RIN
1 - 0
SYD
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
KOL
3 - 1
RIN
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RIN
1 - 1
KOL
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |