Aarup vs OKS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GVI
2 - 0
AAR
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
AAR
3 - 1
SKJ
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
AAF
2 - 2
AAR
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
LIF
1 - 2
AAR
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AAR
1 - 2
OTB
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
OKS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
OKS
1 - 2
SLA
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
OKS
2 - 0
SON
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
KOR
0 - 3
OKS
14%
19%
66%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
RIN
2 - 1
OKS
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
OKS
0 - 4
SYD
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |