Aarup vs Nakskov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AAR
2 - 1
OKS
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GVI
2 - 0
AAR
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
AAR
3 - 1
SKJ
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
AAF
2 - 2
AAR
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
LIF
1 - 2
AAR
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nakskov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RIN
4 - 2
NAK
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NAK
1 - 6
GRE
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
NAK
0 - 8
ROS
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 58 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
NAK
0 - 5
HBK
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 3
NAK
82%
13%
6%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |