Aarup vs Krarup/Espe SG & I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
AAR
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 2
GRE
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
OTB
4 - 0
AAR
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
3 - 0
SYD
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
AAR
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Krarup/Espe SG & I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
5 - 1
KRA
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KRA
2 - 2
OTB
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SYD
1 - 1
KRA
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
KRA
2 - 4
KOL
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
5 - 0
KRA
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |