Aarup vs Kolding IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SYD
0 - 0
AAR
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
6 - 3
FJO
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
OKS
2 - 2
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 2
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
4 - 3
NAS
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Kolding IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
KOL
2 - 4
NAS
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
6 - 3
KOL
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 4
HAD
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NAE
0 - 0
KOL
27%
23%
51%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
KOL
2 - 1
BON
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |