Aarup vs Hedensted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
3 - 1
SLA
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RIN
3 - 1
AAR
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
1 - 0
GRE
46%
22%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NAS
1 - 2
AAR
53%
22%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
4 - 1
NAK
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Hedensted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HED
5 - 1
OKS
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SLA
2 - 3
HED
58%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HED
1 - 1
GVI
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RIN
3 - 3
HED
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HED
5 - 0
NAE
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |