Aarup vs Haderslev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NAE
1 - 3
AAR
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 1
BON
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
BOL
2 - 4
AAR
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 0
TAR
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RIN
5 - 2
AAR
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Haderslev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HAD
2 - 5
NAS
35%
24%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 3
HAD
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HAD
5 - 2
FRE
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HAD
0 - 6
NAE
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BON
2 - 5
HAD
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |