Aarup vs Fjordager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
OKS
2 - 2
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 2
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
4 - 3
NAS
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
5 - 1
AAR
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 1
HAD
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fjordager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FJO
0 - 0
NAS
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
FJO
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FJO
1 - 1
HAD
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
NAE
3 - 2
FJO
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FJO
3 - 2
BON
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |