Aarup vs Døllefjelde-Musse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
HED
3 - 1
AAR
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 2
GVI
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SLA
2 - 1
AAR
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
OKS
1 - 4
AAR
12%
18%
70%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AAR
2 - 0
RIN
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Døllefjelde-Musse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
DOL
1 - 1
SLA
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RIN
2 - 0
DOL
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
DOL
3 - 2
NAE
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DOL
1 - 5
GRE
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DOL
3 - 1
OKS
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |