Aarup vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SKJ
1 - 1
AAR
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 0
SKI
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SVE
3 - 1
AAR
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
KJE
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
THI
4 - 0
AAR
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AAF
1 - 2
LIF
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AAF
1 - 0
SKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SKI
3 - 0
AAF
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AAF
2 - 1
SVE
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KJE
0 - 1
AAF
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |