Aars vs Herlev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 2
ODD
27%
23%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HOL
2 - 0
AAR
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
0 - 1
DJU
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 0
NOR
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ESB
3 - 3
AAR
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
VAN
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
SCE
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
HER
4 - 3
BRØ
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ELI
2 - 4
HER
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
HIK
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |