Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 1
NAE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HIL
1 - 0
AAF
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
KJE
2 - 1
AAF
11%
17%
73%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 1
SKI
60%
21%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
AAF
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
THI
3 - 1
HEL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MID
0 - 0
THI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SKI
3 - 2
THI
34%
23%
43%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
THI
4 - 1
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
THI
1 - 0
B93
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |