Aarhus Fremad vs Skive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
3º
3º
41
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
51 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
AAF
7 - 0
NAE
64%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BFR
0 - 1
AAF
22%
24%
53%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AKA
0 - 2
AAF
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AAF
3 - 1
AKA
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 4
AAF
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
AKA
5 - 1
SKI
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SKI
0 - 2
NAE
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
SKI
1 - 1
MID
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LFA
1 - 1
SKI
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
SKI
0 - 1
MID
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |