Aarhus Fremad vs Skive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
23
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
AAF
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
AAF
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
THI
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 0
AAF
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 4
AAF
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 1
AKA
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 3
SKI
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 1
BFR
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 3
IFL
42%
23%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 1
VEJ
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |