Aarhus Fremad vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
AKA
2 - 1
AAF
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
AAF
3 - 1
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
AAF
0 - 1
FRE
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
SON
2 - 0
AAF
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
AAF
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MID
1 - 2
ACH
64%
23%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SIF
0 - 2
MID
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ESB
4 - 2
MID
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
MID
1 - 0
AAB
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
VEJ
2 - 5
MID
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |