Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
3º
3º
59
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
51 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
AKA
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
NAE
0 - 3
AAF
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
MID
0 - 0
AAF
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
SKI
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AAF
7 - 0
NAE
64%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
MID
3 - 0
NAE
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
BFR
1 - 1
MID
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
MID
0 - 0
AAF
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAE
0 - 1
MID
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
MID
3 - 1
BFR
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |