Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
1º
40
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 2
AAF
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AAF
4 - 0
SKI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 0
AAF
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 2
AAF
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MID
1 - 2
FCH
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 3
MID
31%
26%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
LFA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MID
2 - 2
VFF
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 2
MID
28%
26%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |