Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
FA2
0 - 2
AAF
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 1
SKI
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
KOL
2 - 2
AAF
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 4
AAF
23%
25%
53%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 0
BRA
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MID
3 - 2
KOL
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FA2
2 - 4
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
MID
1 - 2
BRA
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
SKI
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SKI
0 - 1
MID
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |