Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 3
AAF
10%
17%
72%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AAF
3 - 1
FRE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
AAF
4 - 1
OFA
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SKI
1 - 2
AAF
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AAF
4 - 1
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
MID
2 - 3
OFA
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
MID
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
JAM
1 - 0
MID
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
SYD
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
B93
1 - 0
MID
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |