Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
JAM
0 - 2
AAF
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
AAF
4 - 0
RIN
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AAF
1 - 0
SYD
69%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
SKI
0 - 1
AAF
31%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
AAF
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MID
0 - 2
SKI
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MID
5 - 1
THI
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
JAM
0 - 2
MID
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SYD
0 - 1
MID
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MID
1 - 1
AKA
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |