Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AAF
2 - 4
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
JAM
2 - 1
AAF
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
AAF
5 - 0
DJU
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
AAF
3 - 0
HJO
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
AAF
0 - 0
VIB
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
THI
44%
23%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
MID
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
MID
1 - 1
VEJ
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SYD
1 - 5
MID
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MID
4 - 1
VAR
67%
18%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |