Aarhus Fremad vs Marienlyst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
JAM
0 - 1
AAF
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
AAF
2 - 0
NAS
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SYD
1 - 1
AAF
18%
21%
62%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AAF
0 - 0
SKI
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
AAF
0 - 1
SVE
67%
19%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
THI
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 4
MAR
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
KJE
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
SVE
0 - 1
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 2
MAR
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |