Aarhus Fremad vs Nykøbing FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
1º
12
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
IIF
1 - 3
AAF
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 2
MID
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 2
AAF
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AAF
4 - 0
SKI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 0
AAF
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 2
THI
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 2
LFA
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 2
AAF
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 0
LFA
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
LFA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |