Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
5º
11º
8º
3
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
0 | 41 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 36 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 35 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 35 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 30 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 28 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 27 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 26 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 24 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 23 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 23 |
12º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
35% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
65% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
HBK
2 - 1
AAF
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
AAF
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
SIF
1 - 3
AAF
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 1
BFR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SKI
1 - 1
AAF
18%
23%
60%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kolding IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ACH
2 - 1
KOL
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 0
AAB
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 1
MID
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
SON
0 - 2
KOL
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 0
KOL
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |