Aarhus Fremad vs Jammerbugt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
2º
0
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
B93
1 - 0
AAF
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 1
KOL
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ROS
4 - 6
AAF
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
AAF
9%
15%
76%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 1
ESB
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Jammerbugt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
THI
3 - 0
JAM
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
ROS
14%
19%
67%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
B93
3 - 0
JAM
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
SKI
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 0
JAM
60%
21%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |