Aarhus Fremad vs Hellerup IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
1º
28
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
2 - 1
AAF
16%
18%
66%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 1
FCH
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
3 - 2
AAF
28%
24%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 0
NAE
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MID
3 - 1
AAF
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 0
LFA
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 3
HEL
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
2 - 0
IIF
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 0
HEL
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 2
ROS
14%
18%
68%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |