Aarhus Fremad vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
2º
16
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
THI
0 - 4
AAF
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
AIA
0 - 9
AAF
4%
9%
87%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MID
3 - 2
AAF
23%
22%
55%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 1
IFL
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
VEJ
0 - 0
AAF
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
HEL
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
FOD
1 - 3
FRE
5%
11%
85%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
HOL
74%
16%
11%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 2
BRØ
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 13 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
AKA
1 - 0
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |