Aarhus Fremad vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 3
AAF
28%
22%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AAF
0 - 1
LIF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RAN
1 - 2
AAF
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AAF
1 - 1
AAB
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LYS
1 - 4
AAF
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 1
FRE
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 0
HBK
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VFF
2 - 2
FRE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
AGF
2 - 1
FRE
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
SKI
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |