Aarhus Fremad vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 1
HEL
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKA
2 - 2
AAF
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 2
SKI
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 0
JAM
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
B93
1 - 0
AAF
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BIF
1 - 1
FCK
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RAN
2 - 3
BIF
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BIF
3 - 3
LYN
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VFF
0 - 0
BIF
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BIF
2 - 2
RAN
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |