Aarhus Fremad vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
OTB
0 - 5
AAF
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AAF
2 - 3
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VIB
0 - 5
AAF
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
AAF
4 - 1
BRA
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LFA
2 - 2
AAF
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
LIF
1 - 2
AAR
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AAR
1 - 2
OTB
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
AAR
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 4
VIB
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
AAR
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |