Aarhus Fremad II vs Silkeborg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HAD
1 - 1
AAR
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AAR
5 - 1
SIK
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LIF
4 - 2
AAR
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
AAR
1 - 0
AFF
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HFS
3 - 2
AAR
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Silkeborg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SIL
2 - 3
HER
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SIL
1 - 2
HAD
71%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SIK
0 - 1
SIL
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SIL
2 - 1
LIF
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AFF
0 - 2
SIL
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |