Aarhus Fremad II vs Lystrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
IFL
1 - 1
AAR
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
AAR
0 - 2
SKI
24%
21%
56%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -3 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
HOL
1 - 3
AAR
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AAR
3 - 2
AAB
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VAT
2 - 0
AAR
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Lystrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LYS
1 - 5
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LYS
0 - 2
IFL
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SKI
3 - 0
LYS
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LYS
0 - 1
HOL
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AAB
3 - 1
LYS
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |