Aarhus Fremad II vs Aalborg BK II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
6º
5º
36
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VRI
0 - 3
AAR
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
AAR
1 - 3
VEJ
28%
25%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KJE
2 - 4
AAR
21%
21%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AAR
1 - 1
ASA
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AAR
1 - 3
ODD
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AAB
3 - 4
ODD
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
DJU
0 - 1
AAB
12%
17%
71%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AAB
3 - 0
VIB
41%
21%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
AAB
1 - 1
VRI
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 3
AAB
25%
22%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |