Aarau II vs Subingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
5 - 2
JUV
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WOH
4 - 2
AAR
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
2 - 3
RSZ
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ZOF
3 - 5
AAR
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
3 - 2
LEN
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 4
SUB
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SUB
0 - 2
DUL
46%
22%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 0
PAJ
20%
20%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +3 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 3
SUB
47%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 2
WOH
39%
22%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |