Aarau II vs Seefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
4 - 1
AAR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WOH
2 - 2
AAR
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 2
KUS
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
UST
0 - 3
AAR
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AAR
2 - 0
LAN
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Seefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SEE
2 - 0
KUS
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
UST
2 - 0
SEE
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SEE
1 - 3
LAN
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 2
SEE
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SEE
3 - 2
RSZ
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |