Aarau II vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 2
AAR
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AAR
0 - 1
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AAR
5 - 0
IBA
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 1
AAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
AAR
4 - 1
FCB
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
0 - 2
MAL
17%
23%
59%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 2
IBA
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
FCB
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BUO
0 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
SAR
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |