Aarau II vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ZOF
3 - 5
AAR
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
3 - 2
LEN
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FCG
1 - 5
AAR
10%
16%
74%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AAR
2 - 1
HON
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KRU
5 - 0
AAR
17%
18%
64%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RSZ
5 - 0
ROT
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DUL
1 - 2
RSZ
21%
21%
59%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RSZ
2 - 1
SUB
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
RSZ
14%
19%
68%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RSZ
1 - 1
FCA
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |