Aarau II vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
41%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
KUS
0 - 1
AAR
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AAR
2 - 3
LAN
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 0
AAR
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AAR
3 - 4
FCO
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 1
AAR
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RSZ
4 - 0
KOS
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 3
RSZ
16%
21%
64%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RSZ
2 - 0
FCW
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RSZ
3 - 0
KUS
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
3 - 2
RSZ
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |