Aarau II vs Olten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 0
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 6
AAR
17%
22%
62%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
AAR
2 - 0
MAL
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LSS
2 - 4
AAR
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AAR
3 - 2
KUS
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Olten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
OLT
1 - 0
FCA
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LUZ
3 - 2
OLT
71%
17%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
OLT
3 - 1
ZOF
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
OLT
1 - 4
BAS
10%
16%
75%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
OLD
5 - 1
OLT
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |