Aarau II vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
SAR
3 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 0
ACS
76%
15%
8%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 2
AAR
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 0
MAL
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 1
AAR
36%
24%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 1
FCA
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BUO
1 - 0
LUZ
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
LUZ
2 - 3
LSS
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 1
FCS
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 3
LUZ
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |