Aarau II vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AAR
2 - 1
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 2
AAR
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AAR
4 - 1
GOL
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 0
AAR
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AAR
4 - 1
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 1
SCH
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FCA
3 - 3
LUZ
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
LUZ
2 - 2
BUO
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 1
LUZ
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LSS
2 - 2
LUZ
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |