Aarau II vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 1
AAR
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
6 - 4
AAR
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
7 - 1
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 2
ESC
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 2
AAR
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
IBA
1 - 2
SAR
48%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 0
IBA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 2
HER
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
4 - 2
IBA
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
7%
13%
81%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |