Aarau II vs Gränichen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
AAR
23%
22%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
6 - 1
BAS
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 0
AAR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
AAR
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
AAR
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 3
BER
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 2
GRA
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 1
ALL
41%
22%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OST
0 - 3
GRA
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |