Aarau II vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 4
AAR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AAR
3 - 1
DIE
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCW
3 - 1
AAR
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
AAR
9 - 0
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FCS
4 - 1
AAR
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 2
KOS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SUB
1 - 2
FCT
15%
21%
65%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 0
RSZ
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FRE
4 - 3
FCT
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 1
HON
36%
24%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |