Aarau II vs Tavannes / Tramelan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
AAR
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 2
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
AAR
23%
22%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
6 - 1
BAS
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 0
AAR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tavannes / Tramelan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
TAV
1 - 6
BER
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 0
TAV
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TAV
0 - 0
ALL
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OST
4 - 0
TAV
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
TAV
2 - 2
MOU
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |