Aarau II vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
EMM
2 - 3
AAR
39%
24%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 2
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 1
AAR
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
6 - 4
AAR
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
7 - 1
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FCS
3 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
FCS
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
EMM
1 - 1
FCS
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LSS
1 - 1
FCS
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |