Aarau II vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 3
AAR
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 0
LSS
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
OLT
0 - 1
AAR
29%
23%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 0
LUZ
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AAR
2 - 1
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 0
FCA
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 0
SCH
56%
22%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BUO
4 - 0
FCS
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 0
IBA
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 2
LSS
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |